About
Built and maintained by the Is This Trade Fair team. What it does, what it runs on, and where its record stands.
The thesis
A trade calculator that shows its reasoning and will publish its track record. A feature ships if it serves that sentence.
Both halves are running. Every verdict carries its four terms, decomposed, on screen. Any verdict can be added to the ledger, which scores it on the eight weeks of games that follow, so its first results are still to come.
Free, permanently, with no account
The calculator, the value chart, the movers and the ledger are free and always will be. A paywalled calculator does not get recommended, and being recommended is the whole strategy.
No sportsbook and no daily fantasy
This category runs on betting affiliate links. There are none here and there will not be.
What gets published
The method page carries every curve and multiplier, including the ones we are least confident about. The sources page names each feed and the date it was last downloaded. The ledger will carry the misses alongside the hits.
What it cannot see
No market feed, no injury term, no recent-form term and no roster context. The method page lists each one and what it would take to fix. The ledger scores the calls these blind spots cost like any other.